UNI after 10% rally – what’s next? Another one impulse, now from $6.86 to $7.57, but we are already seeing a slowdown in momentum. Still, the price remains above all EMAs and is retesting the 0 Fibonacci level at $7.57 after a brief breakout. Will the impulse continue, or is a local correction becoming more likely?
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Overall UNI Price Structure
Over the past few days, we’ve observed several strong impulses in UNI, one of the most notable occurring after the breakout above $7.00 on increased volume. As a result, the current HH/HL structure is confirmed – the pullback low at $7.221 did not violate the previous low at $6.868, and the high at $7.575 has already been surpassed. This may indicate the end of the consolidation phase and a recovery in bullish initiative.
UNI EMA and RSI
- EMA-20 ($7.418). Currently lies below the price, with an upward slope, and has been broken through by multiple candle bodies. The recovery phase remains active, and EMA-20 serves as key support for the ongoing impulse. Maintaining a price above EMA-20 on increasing volume may be interpreted as a sign of trend acceleration. However, losing this level with RSI < 55 may signal the beginning of a correction.
- EMA-50 ($7.364). The slope is clearly upward. EMA-50 has not been broken by a candle body for 24 hours, and also acts as confirmed support. A retest of EMA-50 followed by a bounce with a long lower wick will strengthen the signal of active demand, while a breakdown below would indicate a weakening of the impulse.
- EMA-100 ($7.308). The slope is positive; it lies below the active range and acts as moderate support. If the price reaches EMA-100, this would be a strong correction signal, but without breaking the bullish structure.
- EMA-200 ($7.241). Maintains a positive slope and is not currently involved in the active move. A breakdown below EMA-200 with confirmation by volume would invalidate the current bullish structure.
UNI RSI
The current RSI is at 64.23, confidently holding above the 60 level with an upward slope. This also signals a transition into a bullish impulse phase. The recovery from the 39.00 low was accompanied by a series of higher lows without entering the oversold zone. As such, RSI and price are moving in sync, confirming the validity of the HH/HL structure. A loss of slope and a move below 50 would be the first signal of a phase shift.
UNI Fibonacci Key Zones
- 0.236 ($7.408). Previously, resistance, now support. Holding this level would confirm the strength of the impulse.
- 0.382 ($7.305). Support within the consolidation zone; a breakdown would open the path to $7.221.
- 0.5 ($7.221). A critical level – a breakdown would invalidate the HH/HL structure.
- 0.618 ($7.138). Next, the target level for a deeper correction.
- 0.786 ($7.019). A full structural breakdown and trend invalidation, as well as the final point for a possible rebound.
UNI Market Sentiment
The market is in a bullish phase, though caution may be warranted after this sequence of upward impulses. Still, the price is trading above all major EMAs, RSI > 60, slope upward, and volume is moderate but growing. Conditions favor continued upward movement, though a pullback to $7.30 remains a risk.
📈 Potential Bullish Scenario
- Breakout above $7.575 with confirmation, RSI ≥ 60 with a positive slope, EMA-20 and EMA-50 maintaining upward inclination.
- Target. $7.70–7.75 as the impulse extension zone.
- Invalidation. Breakdown below $7.30, RSI < 50, EMA-20 loses slope.
📉 Potential Bearish Scenario
- Candle closes below $7.305 (0.382), RSI < 50 and declining, EMA-50 crosses below EMA-20, volume > 55K.
- Target. $7.221 (0.5), then $7.138 (0.618); if $7.13 is lost — $7.02 (0.786).
- Invalidation. Quick return above $7.35, RSI > 55.
✅ Potential Entry
- $7.45–$7.48, above EMA-20 and 0.236 Fibo.
- Confirmation. RSI > 60, candle without an upper wick.
🛑 Potential Stop
- Below $7.30 and EMA-50.
- Confirmation. RSI < 50, candle closes below 0.382.
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What to Watch Over the Coming Hours
The focus is on holding the $7.408 level and extending the impulse to $7.70. Loss of the $7.305–7.30 zone, accompanied by volume and RSI < 50, would indicate the start of a correction. The key indicator is holding above EMA-20 and maintaining RSI above 60.
