- Bitcoin performed a classic liquidity sweep from 104K to 100K — fast, clean, and predictable for those who understand market structure
- Price is now retracing into a supply zone, but the liquidity above makes it likely we’ll break it and push higher before any real rejection
- Nothing is certain — these are educated scenarios based on structure and liquidity, not guarantees
Last time we talked about Bitcoin, we were hovering around that 104K mark. And yeah, there was a pretty clear trendline sitting under us, with liquidity stacked all the way down to 100K. It wasn’t some wild guess — it was pure logic for anyone who understands how liquidity works.

Unsurprisingly, price dropped fast right into that zone. A classic liquidity sweep. No tricks, no fireworks — just pure market mechanics doing what they do.

And now? Well, here we are again. Price is retracing after the drop, and it’s landed in a pretty obvious supply zone. Here’s the real question: will it hold?
Let me be honest — I don’t trust it. Not one bit.

There’s liquidity sitting above, and if we’ve learned anything from watching Bitcoin long enough, it’s this: price moves to where liquidity lives. So if you’re thinking this supply is going to stop Bitcoin cold in its tracks… you might want to zoom out.
I’ve seen this setup before. It reminds me of those classic fakeouts where the market gives everyone the illusion of resistance — people start shorting hard, placing stops just above — and bam, Bitcoin wicks straight through, taking them all out. If you’re new to this, it might feel chaotic.
But for those of us who’ve been in the trenches for a while, it’s starting to feel like a rerun.
What’s Likely to Happen?
If I had to lean toward one bitcoin price prediction, I’d say this supply zone won’t hold. Not with all that liquidity sitting just a bit higher. It’s almost like bait. And Bitcoin, like clockwork, loves to eat stops.
So yeah, maybe we see a push up to clear those highs, grab the liquidity — and then decide what’s next.
But — and this is key — don’t take this as gospel.
A Quick Reality Check
So, if you’re trading this, protect yourself. Play levels, not emotions. Use logic, not hope. The liquidity sweep we just saw was textbook. If this push back up is also part of the script, then we might already know how this ends.
Just remember: certainty is a trap. Possibilities are the real edge.