- Bitcoin reacted strongly off the daily demand zone but invalidated the supply zone above
- A potential short-term move from 104K to 100K is in play, based on H4 liquidity levels
- No prediction is 100%—this is a game of scenarios, not certainties
In our last Bitcoin deep dive, we explored a scenario where price could bounce from the daily demand zone, push up into supply, and then potentially roll over.

Well, part of that script played out—Bitcoin reacted beautifully to the demand below. Like clockwork.
That level held, buyers stepped in, and price surged… but then it kept going.
The supply zone we were watching? It didn’t stand a chance. Price blew right past it and took out the liquidity sitting above—likely those who were shorting with stops tucked safely (or so they thought) above recent highs.
Classic.

And now? Bitcoin’s starting to bleed a little. Zoom into the H4 chart and you’ll spot it too—momentum shifting, candles shrinking, and price showing signs it might be eyeing a deeper pullback.
There’s some juicy liquidity sitting below around the 100K area. The last swing low left a trail that the market hasn’t swept yet.

From a structure point of view, we could absolutely see a move from 104K back down to 100K in the short term. It wouldn’t even be that dramatic, honestly—it would just be the market doing what it does best: hunting liquidity.
But hey, let’s keep it real. This is Bitcoin. It doesn’t care about our plans, our analysis, or our carefully drawn zones. What we’re talking about here are possible scenarios—not guarantees. Price could bounce halfway down.
Or shoot back up before taking any of that liquidity. It’s unpredictable, and that’s the game.
One thing I’ve learned? The moment you think you’ve got the market figured out, it humbles you. So while we can lean into probabilities and structure, there’s always that edge of uncertainty. That’s why we manage risk, adapt, and never get married to one idea.
If you’re watching the chart like I am, keep your eyes on that H4 behavior. The next move might just be sneaky.