Dogecoin Price Analysis: What’s Missing for Another Run to $0.48?

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Crypto is back on the menu for the average investor. Just this week, Bitcoin broke new all-time highs for two consecutive days, while digital assets like Ethereum and Solana have regained momentum as excitement builds across the market.

As of right now, it sure seems like we are back riding off the bullish momentum we saw at the beginning of the year. However, one key actor of that trend appears to be missing: What of our beloved DOGE?

Dogecoin was one of the best-performing altcoins of that last bull run. From November 2024 until December 8 of that year, $DOGE managed to gain a whopping 240% in value. In fact, Doge’s momentum was so vivid that by the end of the year, the memecoin was rivaling XRP as the best-performing asset of the post-election rally. 

While Dogecoin has certainly gotten out of first gear, gaining a respectable 40% in value since May 1st—the asset is far from leading the race. Currently trading at $0.2391—$DOGE is still a long way from retesting its December 8 peak of $0.48. 

Taking a look at the 1-hour chart we can see how bears started to lose strength by mid-March. Bulls would finally take control on May, as retail came back to the market as buying pressure increased significantly.

While the recent momentum led $DOGE upwards of twenty cents per token—the memecoin has found strong resistance at the $0.25 margin. So, what differs this rally from the November one?

What is Missing For Dogecoin?

Back in November/December, retail interest quickly shifted to altcoins as investors looked for profitable opportunities. From mid-November until December 8th, Bitcoin dominance (BTC-D) fell from making up 61.54% of the entire market to as low as 54.56%.

This sudden 11% drop in Bitcoin dominance was enough to lead to a surge in altcoin activity, with traders rotating liquidity into assets that promised higher returns. However, BTC-D is currently at its highest margin since February of 2021 at 64.02% of the market. Essentially this means that altcoins aren’t receiving the same level of liquidity as they did during previous rallies.

So, what does this means? Was Florence + The Machine right—are the Dog days in fact over?

Well, not necessarily. There is two things DOGE will need before it can regain its late-2024 momentum: liquidity and adoption. At the below image, take a look at the type of trading volume DOGE/USD experienced on Coinbase in November, then compare it to today:

To put it simply, Dogecoin needs a spark—something to reignite retail interest and bring fresh liquidity into the asset. Those interested in DOGE should keep a vigilant eye on Bitcoin Dominance now that the asset broke new ATHs—liquidity may as well start flowing into altcoins sooner than we expect.

For now, the $0.25 resistance zone serves as a key metric for Dogecoin’s short-term trajectory. If buyers can push past this level with strong volume, it would signal renewed momentum and potentially open the door for a retest of higher resistance levels.

By the way, if you’re looking for next-level market analysis and want to trade like an absolute legend, check out the Bitcoinsensus Legends Community. They’ve got expert insights and daily trading setups, to help you navigate the market like a pro!

Disclaimer: The content provided in this article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Any actions you take based on the information provided are solely at your own risk. We are not responsible for any financial losses, damages, or consequences resulting from your use of this content. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Read more

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Giovane

My name is Giovane, and I've been covering the world of cryptocurrencies for nearly half a decade. I have a deep passion for understanding how crypto is shaping our future and enjoy diving into the news that highlights these changes. I'm particularly interested in how Bitcoin, Altcoins, and blockchain technology impact economies and societies worldwide.

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